UPDATED: 11-04-25 19:23 PDT

cfp UAB 1
  
UAB                   
W-L: ( 3- 5) PR = 62.7715

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 828 H Ala St 52-42 906 A Navy AME ( 7- 1, 69.6) 24-38 913 H Akron MIDA ( 3- 6, 59.4) 41-28 920 A Tennessee SEC ( 6- 3, 81.3) 6-24 1004 H Army AME ( 4- 4, 71.0) 13-31 1011 A Fla Atlantic AME ( 3- 5, 64.0) 33-53 1018 H Memphis AME ( 8- 1, 80.8) 31-24 1101 A UConn IND ( 6- 3, 71.4) 19-38 1108 A Rice AME ( 4- 5, 61.2) 1115 H No Texas AME ( 8- 1, 77.3) 1122 H So Florida AME ( 6- 2, 86.4) 1129 A Tulsa AME ( 2- 6, 61.1)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   906 A Navy                   24-38     -14   -11    -     -3.29
   913 H Akron                  41-28      13     7    ++     5.67
   920 A Tennessee               6-24     -18   -22    +      2.00
  1004 H Army                   13-31     -18    -4    ---  -13.67
  1011 A Fla Atlantic           33-53     -20    -5    ---  -14.81
  1018 H Memphis                31-24       7   -14    +++   21.07
  1101 A UConn                  19-38     -19   -13    ---   -6.44

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
  1004 H Army                   13-31     -18    -4    ---  -13.67
  1011 A Fla Atlantic           33-53     -20    -5    ---  -14.81
  1101 A UConn                  19-38     -19   -13    ---   -6.44
   906 A Navy                   24-38     -14   -11    -     -3.29

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
  1018 H Memphis                31-24       7   -14    +++   21.07
   913 H Akron                  41-28      13     7    ++     5.67
   920 A Tennessee               6-24     -18   -22    +      2.00

UAB Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Boston Col ` Boston Col ` tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Boston Col `
California California   California
Clemson Clemson   Clemson
Duke Duke   Duke
Florida St Florida St   Florida St
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech   Georgia Tech
Louisville Louisville   Louisville
Miami Miami   Miami
UNC UNC   UNC
NC St NC St   NC St
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh   Pittsburgh
SMU SMU   SMU
Stanford Stanford   Stanford
Syracuse Syracuse insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Syracuse
Virginia Virginia   Virginia
Va Tech Va Tech   Va Tech
Wake Forest Wake Forest   Wake Forest
Army Army Army  
Charlotte UAB tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) UAB
Ea Carolina Ea Carolina insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ea Carolina
Fla Atlantic Fla Atlantic Fla Atlantic  
Memphis UAB UAB  
Navy Navy Navy  
No Texas No Texas No Texas   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Rice UAB tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) UAB
So Florida So Florida tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) So Florida
Temple Temple tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Temple
Tulane Tulane insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Tulane
Tulsa UAB insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) UAB
UTSA UTSA   UTSA
Arizona Arizona   Arizona
Arizona St Arizona St   Arizona St
BYU BYU   BYU
Baylor Baylor   Baylor
Cincinnati Cincinnati   Cincinnati
Colorado Colorado   Colorado
Houston Houston   Houston
Iowa St Iowa St   Iowa St
Kansas Kansas   Kansas
Kansas St Kansas St tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Kansas St
Oklahoma St UAB   UAB
TCU TCU   TCU
Texas Tech Texas Tech   Texas Tech
UCF UCF   UCF
Utah Utah   Utah
We Virginia We Virginia   We Virginia
Illinois Illinois   Illinois
Indiana Indiana   Indiana
Iowa Iowa   Iowa
Maryland Maryland insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Maryland
Michigan Michigan   Michigan
Michigan St Michigan St   Michigan St
Minnesota Minnesota   Minnesota
Nebraska Nebraska tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Nebraska
Northwestern Northwestern   Northwestern
Ohio St Ohio St   Ohio St
Oregon Oregon   Oregon
Penn St Penn St   Penn St
Purdue Purdue   Purdue
Rutgers Rutgers   Rutgers
UCLA UCLA   UCLA
USC USC   USC
Washington Washington   Washington
Wisconsin Wisconsin   Wisconsin
Florida Intl Florida Intl insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Florida Intl
Jacksonv. St Jacksonv. St   Jacksonv. St
Kennesaw St Kennesaw St   Kennesaw St
Liberty UAB   UAB
La Tech La Tech   La Tech
Middle Tenn UAB   UAB
NM St UAB   UAB
SHouston St UAB   UAB
UTEP UAB   UAB
We Kentucky We Kentucky   We Kentucky
UMass UAB   UAB
Notre Dame Notre Dame   Notre Dame
UConn UConn UConn  
Akron UAB UAB  
Ball St UAB tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) UAB
Bowl. Green UAB   UAB
Buffalo UAB insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) UAB
Cen Michigan Cen Michigan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Cen Michigan
Ea Michigan UAB   UAB
Kent State UAB   UAB
MiamiOH MiamiOH tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) MiamiOH
No Illinois UAB   UAB
Ohio Ohio   Ohio
Toledo Toledo tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Toledo
We Michigan We Michigan   We Michigan
Air Force Air Force tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Air Force
Boise State Boise State   Boise State
Colorado St Colorado St   Colorado St
Fresno St Fresno St   Fresno St
Hawaii Hawaii   Hawaii
Nevada Nevada   Nevada
New Mexico New Mexico   New Mexico
San Diego St San Diego St   San Diego St
San Jose St San Jose St   San Jose St
UNLV UNLV   UNLV
Utah St Utah St   Utah St
Wyoming Wyoming tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Wyoming
Oregon St UAB   UAB
Wash St Wash St   Wash St
Alabama Alabama insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Alabama
Arkansas Arkansas insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Arkansas
Auburn Auburn   Auburn
Florida Florida   Florida
Georgia Georgia insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Georgia
Kentucky Kentucky tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Kentucky
LSU LSU   LSU
Missouri Missouri   Missouri
Miss St Miss St tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Miss St
Oklahoma Oklahoma insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Oklahoma
Ole Miss Ole Miss   Ole Miss
So Carolina So Carolina   So Carolina
Tennessee Tennessee Tennessee  
Texas Texas   Texas
Texas A&M Texas A&M   Texas A&M
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt   Vanderbilt
App St App St   App St
Arkansas State Arkansas State   Arkansas State
Coastal Car Coastal Car   Coastal Car
Georgia So UAB   UAB
Georgia St UAB insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) UAB
J Madison J Madison   J Madison
Louisiana Louisiana   Louisiana
Marshall Marshall   Marshall
Old Dominion Old Dominion   Old Dominion
So Miss So Miss   So Miss
So Alabama UAB   UAB
Texas State Texas State   Texas State
Troy Troy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Troy
La-Monroe UAB   UAB

PowerWise = 23


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 8.46

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Navy            ( 7- 1, 69.6)    24-38      -30.35      23.64       3.93         1.21           -15.97
   0 H Akron           ( 3- 6, 59.4)    41-28      -40.52      13.46      -3.93         1.21            23.05
   0 A Tennessee       ( 6- 3, 81.3)     6-24      -18.60      35.39       3.93         1.21            -8.86
   0 H Army            ( 4- 4, 71.0)    13-31      -28.87      25.12      -3.93         1.21           -19.83
   0 A Fla Atlantic    ( 3- 5, 64.0)    33-53      -35.87      18.12       3.93         1.21           -19.31
   0 H Memphis         ( 8- 1, 80.8)    31-24      -19.13      34.86      -3.93         1.21            74.80
   0 A UConn           ( 6- 3, 71.4)    19-38      -28.50      25.49       3.93         1.21           -14.85
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        19.03

winning pts = 97.8496 losing points = -78.8170

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------